US 9,811,778 B2
Social collaboration in probabilistic prediction
Aaron Keith Baughman, Silver Spring, MD (US); and Brian Marshall O'Connell, Cary, NC (US)
Assigned to INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORPORATION, Armonk, NY (US)
Filed by International Business Machines Corporation, Armonk, NY (US)
Filed on Oct. 25, 2013, as Appl. No. 14/63,035.
Prior Publication US 2015/0120619 A1, Apr. 30, 2015
Int. Cl. G06N 7/00 (2006.01)
CPC G06N 7/005 (2013.01) 19 Claims
OG exemplary drawing
 
1. A method for social collaboration in probabilistic prediction, the method comprising:
sending, from an application executing in a data processing system using a processor and a memory, a set of predictions to a user device, wherein a prediction in the set of predictions is a probability of an outcome of an event, wherein the probability is computed using a prediction model trained with training data corresponding to the event;
receiving an input from the user device, wherein the input comprises a new prediction made at the user device using a new prediction model executing on the user device;
determining a difference between the prediction and the new prediction; and
revising the prediction model to produce a revised prediction, wherein a revised difference between the revised prediction and the new prediction is smaller than the difference and wherein the difference exceeds a threshold.